Wednesday, October 9, 2013

10/9/2013 Daily Update: Mostly Sunny Wednesday, CME Impact, M-class Solar Flare

Good morning everyone!

A frosty morning leads to a cool afternoon with temps in the lower 60s. High pressure parked in New England is keeping rain showers south of here.

TODAY: Mostly sunny with highs in the lower 60s. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with lows in the lower 40s. Winds from the NE at 5 mph.

TOMORROW: Mostly cloudy with highs in the lower to mid 60s. Winds from the NE at 5 mph.

A few rain showers may creep in from the south late Thursday. Depends on how far north the extent of the rain comes.


ATLANTIC TROPICS

  • Area of low pressure south of the Cape Verde islands is being watched for possible development. It's becoming more organized and according to the NHC, has a 30% chance of developing in the next 48 hours.

NATIONAL WEATHER

  • High pressure keeping things dry in the Northeast
  • Rain showers and wind impacting the Mid-Atlantic from NJ to SC
  • Comfortable temps in the Southeast and Gulf
  • Breezy and warm in the South and Midwest
  • Cooler across the Rockies and Northern Plains
  • Beautiful in the Northwest

WORLD WEATHER

  • A tropical depression formed east of the Phillippines and slated to move west  and strengthen toward the Phillippines by the weekend.
  • A tropical cyclone developed in the Indian Ocean, tracking toward India.
  • Narda in the Eastern Pacific weakens into a tropical depression.
  • Showers and storms associated with the Mediterranean low in Europe
  • A cold front is sweeping through Southeast Australia bringing in cooler air. Hot and gusty NW winds in the interior increasing fire danger.

EARTHQUAKES

  • There were no earthquakes rated at or above M6 yesterday or so far today.

SPACE WEATHER

  • Busy evening yesterday in the space weather department. A CME impacted the Earth's magnetic field causing auroras to be seen as far south as the Northern US. The Kp index rose to a 6 for a brief period of time which is moderate geomagnetic storm conditions. Minor geomagnetic activity remains possible today.
  • A moderate M2-class solar flare erupted from the southeast quadrant of the sun. The solar flare was not directed toward Earth since it wasn't Earth-facing but the active is turning toward our planet. This was the strongest solar flare since August. The flare is believed to come from Sunspots 1864-1865. M-class flare chances are set at 10% in the next 24 hours.
  • Solar wind from an Earth-facing coronal hole is projected to reach Earth in the next 2 or 3 days.
An increasing number of spots turning toward Earth
(Credit: SpaceWeather.com)

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