Friday, October 11, 2013

10/11/2013 Daily Update: Shower-less Friday, Phailin Headed for India, Nari for Philippines, Minor 2.6 NH Earthquake

Good morning everyone and Happy Friday!

The showers predicted for today never came into fruition and I doubt that people mind it at all. For Friday, expect partly sunny skies, temperatures seasonable in the mid to upper 60s.

TODAY: Partly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 60s. Winds from the NE at 5 mph.

TONIGHT: Decreasing clouds with lows in the lower to mid 40s. Winds from the NE at 5 mph.

TOMORROW: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 60s. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

It does look like a quiet Columbus Day weekend... temps staying in the 60s and plenty of sun each day. No chances of precipitation in sight for at least until mid-week.


ATLANTIC TROPICS

  • Invest 98L is a broad tropical wave southwest of the Cape Verde islands and so far remains disorganized under a moderate to high shear environment and will need some type of boost for it to get going.

NATIONAL WEATHER

  • Heavy rain continues for the Mid-Atlantic. Places in Pennsylvania have set daily rainfall records yesterday and much of the same for today.
  • Dry and a tad milder in the Northeast
  • Warm and dry in the Southeast, Gulf Coast, and South
  • Storms across the Northern-eastern plains. Potential for a few strong to severe storms in the eastern Dakotas.
  • Cool in the Northwest

WORLD WEATHER

  • Strong and dangerous Tropical Cyclone Phailin out in the Indian Ocean is set to make landfall in eastern India tomorrow. Winds are up to 155 mph and may become a "Super Tropical Cyclone" if it strengthens into a Category 5. Phailin is large and for comparison, is the size of Hurricane Katrina. The hot waters are perfect breeding grounds for Phailin and this almost certainly going to be devastating.
  • Meanwhile, Typhoon Nari is nearing the Philippines and it is up to a Category 3 with max sustained winds of 115 mph. Nari is going to bring severe winds, and heavy rain to a place that has already seen flooding from past tropical cyclones.
  • Trailing Nari is Tropical Storm Wipha which is expected to swing NE in the next few days, strengthening over open waters and may be a threat to Japan next week.
  • Showers and storms across much of Western and Central Europe
  • Showers across Tasmania and a few gusty showers in southern parts of Western Australia. Hotter in central and eastern Queensland. 

Dual threats with Phailin on top eyeing India and Nari on the bottom
closing in on the Philippines (Credit: CIMSS)

EARTHQUAKES


SPACE WEATHER

  • An M1-class flare blasted from the far eastern limb of the sun last night away from Earth and produced a CME. It took place on the side of the sun so no repercussions expected.
  • Sunspot 1865 is fairly stable but quite large and along with 1861, is the likely source for additional M-class flares. It's a waiting game.
Watch for 1861 and 1865 (Credit: SpaceWeather.com)

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