11/10/2013 Daily Update: Clearing Out in Time Before Sunset, Haiyan Death Toll Rises to 10k, Possible CME Mid-Week

Good afternoon everyone!

It's a breezy and cloudy day to start with rain showers around, though starting to clear and blue skies appearing in time before sunset in less than 2 hours.

TODAY: Partly to mostly sunny with highs in the lower 50s. Winds from the W at 5 to 15 mph, gusting to 30 mph.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with lows in the lower to mid 30s. Winds from the W at 5 to 15 mph, gusting to 30 mph.

VETERANS DAY: Partly to mostly sunny skies with highs in the mid to upper 40s. Wind from the W at 5 to 10 mph.

Perhaps a few passing snow showers Monday night from a cold front. Cold, arctic air on the move for this week.

NATIONAL WEATHER

• Snow showers in Northern New England last night, accumulating snow in some towns.
• Nice, pleasant weather in the South and Southeast
• Cold, arctic air starting to plunge into the Upper Midwest
• Mild for the West Coast, clearing out in the Northwest

WORLD WEATHER

• There is no accurate number but officials are saying that as many as 10,000 have perished after one of the strongest typhoon in recorded history, devastated the Philippines. Damage is equivalent to a hundred-mile wide EF4-tornado. Pictures coming out on social media are depressing but certainly tells how real the dire situation is. Haiyan is headed for Vietnam and China as a weakened Category 1 typhoon and in a few days should finally dissipate. http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2013/11/09/typhoon-haiyan-philippines-vietnam/3483099/
• The U.K. experienced flooding yesterday and the storm system now moving toward the south affecting the Mediterranean.
• A line of rain stretched from NE Australia to the South Island of New Zealand.

What's left of Haiyan crossing into Vietnam and China (Credit: CIMSS)

EARTHQUAKES

• There were no earthquakes rated at or above M6 since the last update yesterday.

SPACE WEATHER

• We had an X1-flare this morning from Sunspot 1890 which produced a CME that could be headed for Earth. More details to come but the CME looks faint since the flare was another sharp, impulsive spike. NASA ENLIL do show a direct hit early on the 13th so a geomagnetic storm is possible. We shall see.
• Other regions are stable. Two sunspots and a possible region on the eastern limb turning in aren't doing much but at least the potential is there. M-class flare chances in the next 24 hours: 50%. X-class flare chances: 20%.

NASA ENLIL shows a direct hit by the CME produced by the
X-class flare (Credit: NASA)

1890 popped an X-class flare, 2 sunspots taking its place with
another region to the north that should be numbered soon (Credit: SolarHam.net)